If the election were held now President Obama's chances of victory would be 91.6 percent according to Nate Silver's model.
Further, his estimated margin in the electoral college would be 319 to 219. Both the margin of victory and the percentage chance of victory are all-time highs for Nate's "Nowcast."
538 Nowcast: Obama with 91.6% chance of victory and 100 vote electoral margin (bonus: new MI polls)
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Seeded on Thu Sep 13, 2012 3:22 AM
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